U.S. International Deficits, Debt, and Income Payments: Key Relationships Affecting the Outlook ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS bedeck THE RISKS By John Kitchen John Kitchen is an economist with the Office of worry and Budget, administrator Office of the President. He youngly served as chief(prenominal) economist of the House Budget Committee, and previously held authoritys in the section of the Treasury, the Council of stinting Advisers, the Economic Research Service, and Washington and Jefferson College. He have his Ph.D. and M.A. in economics from the University of Pittsburgh and his B.A. in economics and history from the College of William and bloody shame in Virginia. A variety of issues and relationships will be of profound enormousness in determining the proximo paths of the U.S. current calculate, supranational debt position, and terminal international income flows. This paper describes the key relationships and presents projection results that change the predi sposition of the solvents to those rela- tionships. Although the base case scenario presented in the paper shows a relatively benign outcome based on muddied deterrent projections and the likely continuation of historical relationships, alternative projections serving to illustrate the risksand the potential sources of those risks for a more adverse outcome for U.S.
international deficits, debt and income flows. L 1See, arge and increasing calling and current flier deficits have take to growing concern in recent years around the sustainability of the international deficits, the outlook for the inte rnational debt position of the United States! , and the implications for the future performance of the U.S. economy.1 The United States has been running trade and current account deficits almost continuously for example: Cline (2005); Edwards (2005); Eichengreen (2006a); Blanchard; Giavazzi and Sa (2005); Higgins, Klitgaard, and Tille (2005); Mann (2004); Obstfeld and Rogoff (2004, 2005); Roubini and Setser (2004). Any...If you indispensability to get a near essay, order it on our website: OrderCustomPaper.com
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